United States House of Representatives elections, 2010

This article summarizes the elections. For a complete list of all the races, see United States House of Representatives elections, 2010 – complete list.
United States House of Representatives elections, 2010
2008 ←
members		 November 2, 2010
 → 2012
All 435 seats in the House of Representatives and 5 (of the 6) non-voting members
218 seats needed for a majority
Turnout 40.9%[2]
  Majority party Minority party
 
Leader John Boehner[1] Nancy Pelosi[3]
Party Republican Democratic
Leader since Feb 2, 2006 (as majority leader until January 3, 2007, then minority leader or Speaker) Jan 3, 2003 (as minority leader or Speaker)
Leader's seat Ohio-8th California-8th
Last election 178 seats (42.4% of votes)[4] 257 seats (52.9% of votes)[4]
Seats before 179 seats (including 1 vacancy) 256 seats (including 1 vacancy)
Seats won 242 [5] 193[5]
Seat change 63 63
Popular vote 44,593,666[5] 38,854,459[5]
Percentage 51.4%[5] 44.8%[5]
Swing 9.0%[4][5] 8.2%[4][5]
Results:
  Democratic hold
  Democratic gain
  Republican hold
  Republican gain
Speaker before election

Nancy Pelosi
Democratic

 Elected Speaker

John Boehner
Republican

The 2010 United States House of Representatives elections, part (along with senate elections) of the 2010 midterm elections, were held on November 2, 2010, at the midpoint of President Barack Obama's first term in office. Voters of the 50 U.S. states chose 435 U.S. Representatives. Voters of the U.S. territories, commonwealths, and the District of Columbia chose their non-voting delegates.[lower-alpha 1]

Republicans regained control of the chamber they had lost in the 2006 midterm elections, picking up a net total of 63 seats and erasing the gains Democrats made in 2006 and 2008. Although the sitting U.S. President's party usually loses seats in a midterm election, the 2010 election resulted in the highest loss of a party in a House midterm election since 1938.[6][7] The Republican Party gained control of the most House seats since 1946.[8] Republicans gained the most in New York state where they picked up six seats, defeating five incumbents and winning an open Democratic district. The heavy Democratic Party losses were attributed to anger with President Obama, opposition to the new health insurance bill that was commonly called "Obamacare", and the weak economy.

Contents

Background

Following the 2006 elections, Democrats took control of the House as well as the Senate. In the 2008 elections, which coincided with Democrat Barack Obama's victory over Republican John McCain for the presidency, Democrats increased their majorities in both chambers. Of the 435 congressional districts, 242 were carried by Obama, while 193 voted for McCain. Of the districts Obama won, 34 elected a Republican to the House, while 49 of the districts McCain won elected a Democrat.[9]

Results

e • d Summary of the November 2, 2010, United States House of Representatives election results
Party Seats Popular vote
2008 2010 +/−  % Vote  % +/−
Republican Party 178 242 +63 55.6% 44,593,666 51.38% +9.0%
Democratic Party 257 193 -63 44.4% 38,854,459 44.77% -8.2%
  Libertarian Party − − − − 1,002,511 0.88% +0.27%
  Independent − − − − 519,043 0.62% 0.0%
  Green Party − − − − 230,764 0.27% -0.2%
  Constitution Party − − − − 123,841 0.14% -0.1%
  Independence Party − − − − 121,515 0.14% -0.1%
  Reform Party − − − − 9,333 0.01% −0.01%
  Other Parties − − − − 708,135 0.82% +0.36%
  Scatter/Write-Ins − − − − 621,690 0.72% +0.87%
Totals 435 435 − 100.0% 86,784,957 100.0% −
Voter turnout: 40.9%
Sources: House Clerk - Statistics of the Congressional Election, 2010
House Clerk - Statistics of the Congressional Election, 2008

Retiring incumbents

37 U.S. Representatives retired at the end of their term and five vacancies were filled by special elections before November.

Democrats (17)

Republicans (20)

Incumbents defeated

Defeated incumbents that were elected before 2000 are bolded. There were nine Democrats who survived re-election in the 1994 Republican Revolution, but were defeated this year.

In primary

Republicans (2)

Democrats (2)

In general election

The following 54 incumbents lost their bids for re-election in 2010.[45][45]

Republicans (2)

Democrats (52)

Open seat gains

Republican to Democratic (1)

Democratic to Republican (14)

Predictions

The following were predictions of the outcome of the 2010 United States House of Representatives elections.

Overview

Ratings comparison

Table

The following table contains the final ratings of the competitiveness of selected races according to noted political analysts. Races which were considered safe for the incumbent's party are not included. Incumbents that did not run for re-election have parentheses around their name.

District Winner Incumbent Cook[58] Rothenberg[59] CQ Politics[60] Crystal Ball[61] RealClear[62]
AL-2 Roby (R) Bright (D) Tossup Tossup/Tilts R Tossup Leans D Tossup
AL-5 Brooks (R) (Griffith) (R) Likely R Safe R Safe R Likely R Likely R
AZ-1 Gosar (R) Kirkpatrick (D) Leans R Leans R Leans R Leans R Leans R
AZ-3 Quayle (R) (Shadegg) (R) Lean R Safe R Safe R Leans R Leans R
AZ-5 Schweikert (R) Mitchell (D) Tossup Tossup/Tilts R Tossup Leans R Leans R
AZ-7 Grijalva (D) Grijalva (D) Tossup Leans D Leans D Leans D Tossup
AZ-8 Giffords (D) Giffords (D) Tossup Pure Tossup Tossup Leans D Leans R
AR-1 Crawford (R) (Berry) (D) Lean R Tossup/Tilts R Tossup Leans R Leans R
AR-2 Griffin (R) (Snyder) (D) Likely R R Favored Likely R Likely R Likely R
CA-3 Lungren (R) Lungren (R) Leans R Leans R Leans R Leans R Leans R
CA-11 McNerney (D) McNerney (D) Tossup Pure Tossup Tossup Leans R Leans R
CA-18 Cardoza (D) Cardoza (D) Likely D Safe D Safe D Likely D Leans D
CA-20 Costa (D) Costa (D) Tossup Leans D Leans D Leans D Leans R
CA-47 Sanchez (D) Sanchez (D) Leans D Leans D Leans D Likely D Leans D
CO-3 Tipton (R) Salazar (D) Tossup Tossup/Tilts R Tossup Leans R Leans R
CO-4 Gardner (R) Markey (D) Leans R R Favored Likely R Leans R Leans R
CO-7 Perlmutter (D) Perlmutter (D) Leans D D Favored Leans D Likely D Tossup
CT-4 Himes (D) Himes (D) Leans D D Favored Leans D Leans D Tossup
CT-5 C. Murphy (D) C. Murphy (D) Leans D D Favored Leans D Leans D Tossup
DE-AL Carney (D) (Castle) (R) Likely D Leans D Likely D Leans D Leans D
FL-2 Southerland (R) Boyd (D) Leans R R Favored Leans R Leans R Leans R
FL-8 Webster (R) Grayson (D) Likely R R Favored Leans R Leans R Leans R
FL-12 Ross (R) (Putnam) (R) Lean R Tossup/Tilts R Leans R Leans R Likely R
FL-22 West (R) Klein (D) Tossup Pure Tossup Leans D Leans R Leans R
FL-24 Adams (R) Kosmas (D) Lean R R Favored Likely R Leans R Leans R
FL-25 Rivera (R) (M. Diaz-Balart) (R) Lean R Leans R Leans R Leans R Leans R
GA-2 S. Bishop (D) S. Bishop (D) Tossup Leans D Tossup Leans R Leans R
GA-8 Scott (R) Marshall (D) Lean R Leans R Leans R Leans R Leans R
HI-1 Hanabusa (D) Djou (R) Tossup Pure Tossup Tossup Leans R Tossup
ID-1 Labrador (R) Minnick (D) Tossup Tossup/Tilts D Leans D Leans R Tossup
IL-8 Walsh (R) Bean (D) Likely D Safe D Safe D Likely D Leans D
IL-10 Dold (R) (Kirk) (R) Leans D Tossup/Tilts D Leans D Leans D Tossup
IL-11 Kinzinger (R) Halvorson (D) Leans R R Favored Likely R Leans R Likely R
IL-14 Hultgren (R) Foster (D) Tossup Tossup/Tilts R Tossup Leans R Leans R
IL-17 Schilling (R) Hare (D) Tossup Tossup/Tilts R Tossup Leans R Leans R
IN-2 Donnelly (D) Donnelly (D) Tossup Leans D Leans D Leans D Tossup
IN-8 Bucshon (R) (Ellsworth) (D) Likely R R Favored Likely R Likely R Leans R
IN-9 Young (R) Hill (D) Tossup Tossup/Tilts R Leans R Leans R Leans R
IA-1 Braley (D) Braley (D) Lean D D Favored Leans D Likely D Leans D
IA-2 Loebsack (D) Loebsack (D) Lean D D Favored Leans D Likely D Leans D
IA-3 Boswell (D) Boswell (D) Lean D D Favored Leans D Leans D Leans D
KS-3 Yoder (R) (Moore) (D) Likely R R Favored Likely R Likely R Likely R
KY-3 Yarmuth (D) Yarmuth (D) Likely D D Favored Likely D Likely D Leans D
KY-6 Chandler (D) Chandler (D) Tossup Leans D Leans D Leans D Tossup
LA-2 Richmond (D) Cao (R) Leans D D Favored Likely D Leans D Leans D
LA-3 Landry (R) (Melancon) (D) Likely R R Favored Safe R Likely R Likely R
ME-1 Pingree (D) Pingree (D) Tossup D Favored Leans D Leans D Tossup
ME-2 Michaud (D) Michaud (D) Lean D D Favored Likely D Safe D Tossup
MD-1 Harris (R) Kratovil (D) Lean R Leans R Leans R Leans R Leans R
MA-4 Frank (D) Frank (D) Lean D Safe D Likely D Likely D Leans D
MA-5 Tsongas (D) Tsongas (D) Likely D Safe D Likely D Safe D Likely D
MA-10 Keating (D) (Delahunt) (D) Tossup Pure Tossup Tossup Leans D Tossup
MI-1 Benishek (R) (Stupak) (D) Leans R Tossup/Tilt R Leans R Leans R Leans R
MI-7 Walberg (R) Schauer (D) Tossup Pure Tossup Tossup Leans R Tossup
MI-9 Peters (D) Peters (D) Lean D Leans D Likely D Leans D Tossup
MN-1 Walz (D) Walz (D) Leans D D Favored Leans D Leans D Leans D
MN-6 Bachmann (R) Bachmann (R) Likely R Safe R Safe R Likely R Likely R
MN-8 Cravaack (R) Oberstar (D) Tossup D Favored Likely D Leans D Tossup
MS-1 Nunnelee (R) Childers (D) Tossup Tossup/Tilts R Tossup Leans R Leans R
MS-4 Palazzo (R) Taylor (D) Tossup Pure Tossup Tossup Leans D Tossup
MO-3 Carnahan (D) Carnahan (D) Lean D D Favored Likely D Likely D Leans D
MO-4 Hartzler (R) Skelton (D) Tossup Pure Tossup Tossup Leans D Tossup
NE-2 Terry (R) Terry (R) Likely R Safe R Safe R Likely R Likely R
NV-3 Heck (R) Titus (D) Lean R Tossup/Tilts R Leans R Leans R Leans R
NH-1 Guinta (R) Shea-Porter (D) Lean R R Favored Leans R Leans R Leans R
NH-2 Bass (R) (Hodes) (D) Tossup Pure Tossup Tossup Leans R Tossup
NJ-3 Runyan (R) Adler (D) Tossup Tossup/Tilts R Leans D Leans R Leans R
NJ-12 Holt (D) Holt (D) Likely D Safe D Safe D Likely D Leans D
NM-1 Heinrich (D) Heinrich (D) Tossup Pure Tossup Leans D Leans D Tossup
NM-2 Pearce (R) Teague (D) Lean R Leans R Tossup Leans R Leans R
NY-1 T. Bishop (D) T. Bishop (D) Tossup Tossup/Tilts D Tossup Likely D Tossup
NY-4 McCarthy (D) McCarthy (D) Likely D Safe D Likely D Safe D Likely D
NY-13 Grimm (R) McMahon (D) Lean D D Favored Leans D Likely D Tossup
NY-19 Hayworth (R) Hall (D) Tossup Tossup/Tilts R Tossup Leans R Tossup
NY-20 Gibson (R) S. Murphy (D) Tossup Tossup/Tilts R Tossup Leans R Leans R
NY-22 Hinchey (D) Hinchey (D) Lean D Safe D Likely D Likely D Leans D
NY-23 Owens (D) Owens (D) Tossup Pure Tossup Tossup Leans R Leans R
NY-24 Hanna (R) Arcuri (D) Tossup Pure Tossup Tossup Leans D Tossup
NY-25 Buerkle (R) Maffei (D) Leans D D Favored Likely D Likely D Leans D
NY-29 Reed (R) Zeller (D) Likely R R Favored Safe R Likely R Likely R
NC-2 Ellmers (R) Etheridge (D) Leans D Tossup/Tilts D Likely D Likely D Tossup
NC-7 McIntyre (D) McIntyre (D) Tossup Tossup/Tilts D Leans D Likely D Tossup
NC-8 Kissell (D) Kissell (D) Tossup Leans D Tossup Leans R Tossup
NC-11 Shuler (D) Shuler (D) Lean D D Favored Likely D Likely D Tossup
ND-AL Berg (R) Pomeroy (D) Tossup Tossup/Tilt R Tossup Leans R Leans R
OH-1 Chabot (R) Driehaus (D) Leans R R Favored Likely R Leans R Leans R
OH-6 Johnson (R) Wilson (D) Tossup Pure Tossup Tossup Leans D Tossup
OH-12 Tiberi (R) Tiberi (R) Likely R Safe R Safe R Likely R Likely R
OH-13 Sutton (D) Sutton (D) Likely D D Favored Likely D Likely D Leans D
OH-15 Stivers (R) Kilroy (D) Leans R R Favored Likely R Leans R Likely R
OH-16 Renacci (R) Boccieri (D) Tossup Leans R Tossup Leans R Leans R
OH-18 Gibbs (R) Space (D) Tossup Tossup/Tilts R Tossup Leans R Leans R
OR-1 Wu (D) Wu (D) Likely D Safe D Likely D Safe D Likely D
OR-5 Schrader (D) Schrader (D) Tossup Pure Tossup Tossup Leans D Tossup
PA-3 Kelly (R) Dahlkemper (D) Leans R R Favored Likely R Leans R Leans R
PA-4 Altmire (D) Altmire (D) Lean D D Favored Likely D Likely D Leans D
PA-6 Gerlach (R) Gerlach (R) Likely R Safe R Safe R Likely R Leans R
PA-7 Meehan (R) (Sestak) (D) Leans R Tossup/Tilts R Tossup Leans R Tossup
PA-8 Fitzpatrick (R) P. Murphy (D) Tossup Tossup/Tilts R Tossup Leans R Tossup
PA-10 Marino (R) Carney (D) Tossup Pure Tossup Tossup Leans R Leans R
PA-11 Barletta (R) Kanjorski (D) Tossup Tossup/Tilts R Leans R Leans R Tossup
PA-12 Critz (D) Critz (D) Lean D Pure Tossup Leans D Leans D Tossup
PA-15 Dent (R) Dent (R) Likely R R Favored Leans R Leans R Likely R
PA-17 Holden (D) Holden (D) Likely D Safe D Likely D Likely D Likely D
RI-1 Cicilline (D) (Kennedy) (D) Lean D Leans D Leans D Leans D Tossup
SC-5 Mulvaney (R) Spratt (D) Tossup Leans R Leans R Leans R Leans R
SD-AL Noem (R) Herseth Sandlin (D) Tossup Tossup/Tilts R Tossup Leans R Leans R
TN-4 DesJarlais (R) Davis (D) Tossup Tossup/Tilts R Tossup Leans R Tossup
TN-6 Black (R) (Gordon) (D) Likely R R Favored Safe R Likely R Likely R
TN-8 Fincher (R) (Tanner) (D) Likely R R Favored Likely R Likely R Likely R
TX-17 Flores (R) Edwards (D) Leans R R Favored Likely R Leans R Likely R
TX-23 Canseco (R) Rodriguez (D) Tossup Pure Tossup Tossup Leans R Leans R
TX-27 Farenthold (R) Ortiz (D) Lean D D Favored Likely D Safe D Tossup
VA-2 Rigell (R) Nye (D) Lean R Leans R Leans R Leans R Leans R
VA-5 Hurt (R) Perriello (D) Lean R Tossup/Tilts R Tossup Leans R Leans R
VA-9 Griffith (R) Boucher (D) Tossup Tossup/Tilts D Leans D Leans D Tossup
VA-11 Connolly (D) Connolly (D) Tossup Leans D Leans D Leans D Tossup
WA-2 Larsen (D) Larsen (D) Tossup Leans D Leans D Leans D Tossup
WA-3 Herrera (R) (Baird) (D) Lean R Tossup/Tilts R Leans R Leans R Tossup
WA-8 Reichert (R) Reichert (R) Likely R R Favored Leans R Leans R Leans R
WV-1 McKinley (R) (Mollohan) (D) Tossup Pure tossup Tossup Leans R Tossup
WV-3 Rahall (D) Rahall (D) Likely D Safe D Likely D Likely D Leans D
WI-3 Kind (D) Kind (D) Leans D D Favored Leans D Likely D Tossup
WI-7 Duffy (R) (Obey) (D) Tossup Tossup/Tilts R Tossup Leans R Leans R
WI-8 Ribble (R) Kagen (D) Leans R Leans R Leans R Leans R Leans R

See also

Notes

  1. ^ The nonvoting delegates represent the District of Columbia; the territories of American Samoa, Guam, and the Virgin Islands; and the commonwealths of the Northern Mariana Islands and Puerto Rico, see U.S. Code Title 48 -Territories and Insular Possessions. They are all chosen biennially except for Puerto Rico's delegate, who is elected every four years, and will face reelection in 2012.

References

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  39. ^ Kiely, Eugene (February 10, 2010). "Rep. Ehlers, a moderate Republican, announces retirement". USA Today. http://content.usatoday.com/communities/onpolitics/post/2010/02/rep-ehlers-a-moderate-republican-announces-retirement/1. 
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